Trusted Tips and Resources

Trusted Tips & Resources

Trusted Regina Financial Management Consultant John Barabe Discusses Protecting Your Principal

John Barabe is a Trusted Regina Financial Management Consultant and he has an unwavering commitment to quality and service which has enabled him to build and retain a successful practice in Regina. He and his team of Regina financial professionals and support staff believe that planning with honesty and integrity are cornerstones to improving their clients' quality of life. He applies his knowledge to help clients make the right choices when considering all the product and service options that exist in today's marketplace. In his latest Trusted Regina financial expert article, he shares information on protecting your principal when investing. 

Protecting Your Principal 

There are many managed money (mutual fund-like) investment options. In Canada alone, there are over 20,000, and there are a further 70 plus financial institutions offering GIC’s and term deposits. A program I subscribe to lists over 100,000 investment alternatives and this is by no means comprehensive. That’s a lot to sort through! 

 

Do You Invest? 


If you invest your money into stocks, bonds, mutual funds, or a managed investment that is made up of any of these, the risk to your capital can be greater than you are willing to accept. With so many choices out there it can feel like a gamble with your life savings to pick one. If you invest in GIC’s you have a guaranteed yield, but how are you going to generate a fair return? GIC rates are among the lowest they have ever been in Canada, so this is not a good thing when you are about to earn your living from the interest. 


$500,000 invested in a 2% GIC earns $833 a month. This is very modest living from your life’s savings leaving you no alternative but to spend less or use up your invested capital if you need more.


So What Is The Solution?  


Just because interest rates are very low in Canada, does not mean they are just as low everywhere in the world. I can provide you the right direction and expertise so you can be safely rewarded by gaining access to these higher interest rates.


What About Using The Stock Market?  


In order to get a better rate of return than the near-zero returns that a guaranteed investment provides, many people turn to the stock market. Although in many years you may do well the obvious downfall here is that without warning the stock market can drop significantly taking your life savings with it.  


Suppose I told you there is a way to avoid these major declines but still have the upside the stock market provides?  



Think of how house insurance protects you from your house burning to the ground. Insurance provides a cheque that offsets your losses. It makes you whole once again (minus your deductible). We have no idea when our house could burn to the ground, just as we do not know when the stock market will experience its next major decline. I can protect your life savings in a manner very similar to how house insurance protects your house, eliminating the need to know when the next crash will happen.



Let’s call your investment protection “price drop insurance”.  With this protection in place, you can participate in the good years without having to expose yourself to the bad. You can sleep at night knowing you have protection and no longer need a crystal ball.


If you had any portion of your investments in stocks, you know how badly you did with the stock market crash in 2008. We all know that the stock market will experience another major decline again. My clients did better because of this 2008 stock market crash than they would have without it because there is above average opportunity, but only in the right direction. The good news for them is that the stock market will go down again, allowing the opportunity for above-average returns again.  


How will you fare with the next stock market correction?  


I would be glad to share with you more details of how my clients profit from market declines.  

On that note, we are past due for the next major market decline. I also have evidence that the next stock market decline will be significant. I would like to offer you a value-added service for taking the time to read this article.I will make myself available to act as a sounding board. Please understand, you do not need to become a client to take advantage of this service. The reason I do this is that I became a financial advisor to help people make informed decisions about their financial future. It’s very fulfilling.  

One of two things typically occurs when going through this process; either I validate for you that your current approach is fundamentally solid, or I reveal a few minor flaws that you might want to consider adjusting.  


As you know, minor adjustments can often lead to major improvements down the road. Either way, I will make myself available and ensure that this is a great investment of your time.


Sincerely,

John Barabe, Madison Schenher and team.


John Barabe  is a Trusted Regina Financial Management Consultant




Trusted Regina Financial Advisor John Barabe explains Inflation.

John Barabe has an unwavering commitment to quality and service which has enabled him to build and retain a successful practice in Regina. He and his team believe that planning with honesty and integrity are cornerstones to improving clients' quality of life. He applies his knowledge to help clients make the right choices when considering all the product and service options that exist in today's marketplace.  In this article, he gives us a little perspective and insight while ansewring the question does inflation matter.

Does INFLATION matter?


Let’s simplify inflation with a silly story: The U.S. government just printed and deposited 1 billion dollars into everyone’s chequing account. The first thing that happened is a 5-mile-long lineup at the Ferrari dealer. But, will the Ferrari dealers sell their expensive cars at yesterday's price? Not a chance, because the currency is now nearly worthless. 

 Above sports cars, there are exotic sports cars—and then there’s the LaFerrari! Base model starting at $1,420,112 U.S.

The purpose of my above silly story was to emphasize that printing does cause inflation. Further to that point, 78% of all money the U.S. has ever created was printed since January 2021. Please note that the M2 money supply chart was recently discontinued. I wonder why? What is the value of anything that can be produced for nothing?


Okay, enough theory. Commodities broke out to the upside (by Michael Oliver’s criteria) in October and are currently up ~28% since that breakout. He is predicting a ~50% climb in less than a year and we are on pace for his prediction to play out. 

As commodities are the basis for everything we consume, does it not make sense that costs (actual inflation) will also be increasing by about this amount? 

We have known for a long time that Statistics Canada and BLS (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics) understate inflation. Check out shadowstats.com (see below chart) and the Chapwood index for carefully calculated inflation (both of these independent sources calculate inflation amounts and their results roughly confirm each other and dispel the official calculation).

Understating inflation is done to save the government billions a year. Think about union negotiations when the official inflation is only 1%. This creates unfortunate negative effects, the payout of social programs and pension plans to name a few. Over time we end up with way less income than “actual” inflation would dictate we should have. 

What if inflation, real inflation, were to be 50% from October 2020 to October 2021 (matching the increase in commodities as discussed above)? If this were the case, I would guess that Stats Canada and the BLS would have to increase their official numbers higher, much higher. After all, there is a limit to how far you can pull the wool over people’s eyes.

If “official” inflation were to become 12% (still way below the above “potential” actual) a 5-year GIC (guaranteed investment certificate) becomes ~16% and mortgage rates would jump to ~20% (there is a profit spread for banks). A $1,905 a month payment ($500,000 house with a high ratio $450,000 mortgage at 2%) would become $7,267 a month

The likely outcome for many homes would be that the bank now owns them as this payment is much too high. The bank would then attempt to sell it to recapture the debt lent out.

House prices are dictated by the affordability of the monthly payment. For example, $7,267 is not affordable. Assuming $1,900 is still affordable the $500,000 house would have to fall in price (using the same high ratio 90% mortgage - now $120,000) to $135,000. That is a drop in value of -73% or a $365,000 loss. 

Our money forms the bank's reserve (bank deposits are unsecured loans to the bank/credit union/trust company). It does not matter if we deposit to savings, chequing or locked in for a time period. From our deposits, the banks loan money out at huge leverage. I was shocked when I looked up the reserve that Canadian banks set aside. It seemed as though it was a secret (finding specifics was nearly impossible). The reserve is apparently 0.62% on average for Canadian banks. Less than one percent. Let’s make it 1% to simplify how leveraged the banks are. 

For every $100 in deposits, they loan out $100/0.01 = $10,000. All the banks need to lose is $100 of their $10,000 block of debt to be bankrupt. Considering the above losses with only a 12% inflation rate, I believe that is a real risk. 

In addition to the above, the actual amount that CDIC (Canada Deposit Insurance Corp.) could cover in a system-wide banking collapse (which would likely be the result of 12% inflation) is $6737 per $100,000. It is just not designed for a system-wide collapse. I do believe the money needed will be printed but is that not what caused the problem in the first place? I believe more printing will not solve the problem but will make the problem worse.

Also think about the effect of your money sitting in the bank. If inflation is way higher than the understated official number, deposits are not being compensated. After tax and inflation, what will you gain? Or will you suffer a guaranteed loss? 

Why is it that no one is telling you about this but me? Why is this not front-page news? Should GIC’s still be rated low risk?

So, does inflation matter? I will let you decide. There is more to this story, much more. As this plays out, we will be here every step of the way. Our objective is to guide each of you to the best of our ability and do everything we can to protect and grow your wealth. This is evident with the strategies and investments that are recommended (and more than likely implemented) already.


If you have any questions, or just want to catch up, please feel free to touch base by email, phone or with an in-office appointment. 

John Barabe and his team carefully consider your needs, goals and dreams in order to implement a well-constructed financial strategy, so that you can have peace of mind about your hard-earned money and financial future. They can simplify your life by addressing your complete financial well-being, which encompasses everything from:

John Barabe is a Trusted Financial Advisor



"The opinions expressed within this article/communication are those of the Financial Advisor and are not 
necessarily those of Keybase Financial Group Inc. Any data provided is for illustration purposes only. Clients and 
prospective clients should always read a product prospectus and fully understand all of the risks associated with 
the product before purchasing. Any information relating to the discussion of taxation issues is considered to be 
only general in nature. Clients should seek a qualified tax professional to discuss their specific tax requirements.  

Third party publications are not prepared by Keybase Financial Group Inc. The opinions, estimates and projections 
contained in the publication are those of the author as of the date indicated and are subject to change without 
notice. Keybase Financial Group Inc. makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, in respect thereof, 
takes no responsibility for any errors or omissions which may be contained therein and accepts no liability 
whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on the report or its contents. The provision of this 
publication is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation for or an offer to buy any securities. 

Keybase Financial Group Inc. is a member of the MFDA and is a member of the MFDA IPC". 

John Barabe of Keybase Financial Group -Trusted Regina Financial Advisor Tip on Estate Planning Strategies

John Barabe is a Senior Financial Planning Advisor and has an unwavering commitment to quality and service which has enabled him to build and retain a successful practice in Regina. He and his team of financial pros believe that planning with honesty and integrity are cornerstones to improving clients' quality of life. He applies his knowledge to help clients make the right choices when considering all the product and service options that exist in today's marketplace. John Barabe of Keybase Financial Group is a Trusted Regina Financial Advisor- in this article he shares a Regina financial tip on Estate Planning Strategies. 

Estate Planning Strategies


Many families are not aware of the estate planning options necessary to ensure their intentions are carried out on death.  Estate planning is complicated enough without adding family dynamics into the mix making preparation important. With the current trend of living together without getting married many couples think that the same marital status that applies to taxation also applies to the estate. It does not.  

Upon death, without a valid will, a common law partner is not recognized as a spouse and would be excluded from a share in the estate.

Consideration and selection of an appropriate nominee guardian for minor children is an integral part of the estate planning process.  Why risk courts and government agencies intervening to make decisions.  You need certainty that the care of your child’s life is in the right hands.  The emotional toll is only compounded with the potential of inheritances that may be tied up and or depleted in the process.

Although a will only make up a portion of an estate plan, there are many unintended mistakes that are commonly made.  For example, many people enter into identical wills with their spouse or partner.  

What few are aware of is by law the survivor may not change or revoke his or her will after the death of their partner.  Changes could be contested causing family problems and unintended beneficiaries.  

What if the surviving spouse develops additional needs?  What if one of the children divorced and both are beneficiaries?  What if a surviving spouse wishes to make special arrangements for a caregiver or charity that helped either party in a time of need?  The variations are endless.  This common problem is solved by adding a simple provision to your wills. 


Sometimes seemingly small word changes can have unintended but substantial legal ramifications that result in dramatic changes to the distribution of assets from what was planned.  Small changes can undo best intentions and unfortunately, family conflict can result.

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The process John follows for estate planning includes:


  1. Complete an estate planning checklist.
  2. Meet with you and your spouse or partner and clarify and confirm desires and objectives
  3. Ensure the people involved with your estate are aware of the intentions.  This can include beneficiaries, executors (or executrixes), trustees and guardians.  
  4. Then implement.  All the other steps are not valuable without action.

Make sure your beneficiaries are taken care of, according to your wishes. 

John Barabe and his team carefully consider your needs, goals and dreams in order to implement a well-constructed financial strategy, so that you can have peace of mind about your hard-earned money and financial future. They can simplify your life by addressing your complete financial well-being, which encompasses everything from:

John Barabe, Madison Schenher and team.


John Barabe  is a Trusted Regina Financial Management Consultant



The opinions expressed within this article/communication are those of the Financial Advisor and are not necessarily those of Keybase Financial Group Inc. Any data provided is for illustration purposes only. Clients and prospective clients should always read a product prospectus and fully understand all of the risks associated with the product before purchasing. Any information relating to the discussion of taxation issues is considered to be only general in nature. Clients should seek a qualified tax professional to discuss their specific tax requirements.

 

Third party publications are not prepared by Keybase Financial Group Inc. The opinions, estimates and projections contained in the publication are those of the author as of the date indicated and are subject to change without notice. Keybase Financial Group Inc. makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, in respect thereof, takes no responsibility for any errors or omissions which may be contained therein and accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on the report or its contents. The provision of this publication is not to be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation for or an offer to buy any securities.

 

Keybase Financial Group Inc. is a member of the MFDA and is a member of the MFDA IPC.

 


Trusted Regina Financial Advisor Chris Worby talks about Household Finances and the 25 % rule.

Finding the shortest and safest route to any of your dreams requires planning and only with a carefully thought out financial plan can you be sure to make the most of your resources and to protect against risks along the way.  At Worby Wealth Management, Chris will do his best to help you achieve those dreams with a plan that is tailored to your specific needs and based on your individual situation.

Let Trusted Regina Financial Advisor Chris Worby of Worby Wealth Management help you live your dream!

Expert Financial Advice Regarding Household Finances.


The truth is that financial management is boring. I mean, it sounds interesting when you watch movies and they’re yelling, “Buy, Buy! Sell, sell!” But this behaviour does not make you rich – in fact, it can have the opposite effect.

Smart people understand one thing – tactics do not win the battle, logistics do. And one of my best pieces of advice is the 25% rule.

It essentially breaks down like this: If you want to attain financial security contribute 25% of your net monthly income towards your net worth. It is very important that financial security has very little to do with being ‘rich’ but everything to do with having the resources available to have options throughout your life.

Net worth is composed of two things: Assets and Liabilities. I think of liabilities as the hole requiring filling and think of the assets, as the mountain you build with your resources.

A few notes about each. Paying down credit cards does not fit into the asset/liability described above. Credit cards are consumption. If you have already made errors and are carrying balances, then you need a plan to pay them down and it can be worked into a liability repayment plan. However, further credit card debt becomes consumption rather than a liability.

Big expenses – trips, renovations, etc. should be paid for with funds that have been saved in advance; they should not be financed. The reasons are many. First, once you start down the ‘financing fun’ road, it can be hard to maintain discipline. Second, a trip paid for and fully funded is less stressful. Third, something you pay for as you go tends to be better planned out and fits your budget – and studies show that planning your spending is almost as fun as the actual spending.


Building assets is then the ‘exciting’ part, right? “Buy, buy, sell, sell” and all that. Actually, it is very hard to get rich quickly and fairly easy to get rich slowly. Using pension plans and RRSP, TFSAs and RESPs to accomplish your family’s plans can be done well over time but the ‘get rich quick' schemes rarely work out.

Find a strategy you are comfortable with and run it as a discipline. If you are going to buy and hold, never deviate. If you are going to move with certain market cycles like a momentum system, or act as a value manager, do this and never change it. Make sure you do your homework upfront to get a working system and then never change. Mistakes in investing come from emotion.

But none of that happens without a strategy – and the spending strategy that works best is using 25% of your net, monthly income to build your net worth. Not only do you have funds available to build assets and pay down liabilities but you also create a buffer in case something bad happens. You aren’t living at capacity with your finances, you have options.

And that is financial security.


Some of the services that Worby Wealth Management can help you with: 

TRUSTED REGINA FINANCIAL ADVISOR Chris Worby from Worby Wealth Management helps you live your dream!



Chris Worby a Trusted Regina Financial Expert shares 5 Things to Expect from Your Financial Advisor

Finding the shortest and safest route to any of your dreams requires planning and only with a carefully thought out financial plan can you be sure to make the most of your resources and to protect against risks along the way. At Worby Wealth Management, Chris will do his best to help you achieve those dreams with a plan that is tailored to your specific needs and based on your individual situation.

Let Trusted Regina Financial Advisor Chris Worby of Worby Wealth Management help you live your dream!


5 Things to Expect from Your Financial Advisor

I spend a lot of time figuring out how to add value to my clients. I read many articles on a daily basis trying to understand people’s money management issues both psychologically and mathematically. I have seen good, bad and ugly in the world of investment and here are 5 things I have integrated into my practice as I think they add value and I think you should look for these qualities in your advisor. 

1. Communication. 

During the 2008 liquidity crisis, I gained a few extra clients because I was actively in contact with my existing clients and other advisors were not in contact with theirs. The fact is that I, like all the others, did not know what was happening or why – a 50% drop over 2 months will have that effect on you! – but that didn’t keep me from calling and having appointments. I may not have had answers, but it was still my job to provide them access to whatever information was available.

 

2. Pro-activity. 

This one goes a bit hand in hand with the first one but I can’t tell you how often I’ve heard this, “he calls me at RRSP time and I go write him a cheque and don’t hear from him for a year.” Who is the client in this scenario?! One trick I use for this one is to sometimes book our next appointment at the end of this one – even if it’s going to be 6 months down the line. It keeps us all accountable to meet regularly.

3. Interest. 

I often joke that “you don’t have to be a nerd but you do have to hire one” because the reading I do and enjoy and look forward to would put the average person to sleep in about 3.7 seconds! I like people, I like math, I like psychology, I like markets – I like what I do. I don’t do it because I have to; I do it because I want to. If you are working with someone who has to do something, you know it and you also know mediocrity is the usual companion.

4. Relationship. 

Personally, I don’t get a lot of utility out of a transactional relationship. I like to get to know my clients and I like them to know me. I am a little quirky (aren’t we all) and I like other people’s quirks. I enjoy the eccentricities that make people unique and if we are dealing with transactions – “My guy calls me at RRSP time and I don’t talk to him for a year” – I don’t get a lot of personal reward from that. It makes our work together more personal, I can understand people’s goals better and I can advise them better.

5. Competence. 

This one is difficult to assess in an hour or two of meeting someone however, I think it is fair to ask a new advisor about wins and losses. “Tell me about 3 recommendations you’re proud of and 3 that you aren’t.” There is no possible way that everyone bats 1000 when it comes to recommendations based on the stock market but if someone isn’t willing to discuss it with you, that’s a red flag. This also leads to a talk about investment discipline – and that’s where competence truly lies.

 

I don’t think it’s out of line to treat a new advisor kind of like they are interviewing for a job. I often think of myself as a household’s Chief Financial Officer – you are the CEO; you’re the one making decisions and ultimately responsible. But within the realm of investments and money management services, I give recommendations for my client's consideration.

 

Call Chris Worby at (306) 757-4747 ext 226 or on his Cell: (306) 737-2909. Check out his listing on the Regina Directory in the REGINA FINANCIAL SERVICES category. Chris Worby is a Trusted REGINA FINANCIAL ADVISOR EXPERT

 

 

Some of the services that Worby Wealth Management can help you with: 

TRUSTED REGINA FINANCIAL ADVISOR Chris Worby from Worby Wealth Management helps you live your dream!


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